As expected of the year 2019 that is set to break the record for the most number of invitations issued in a single year, 2019 sees a total 21,200 invitation issued to apply for Canada PR visa to the candidates registered under express entry program.
In comparison to the last year 2018, there is an increase of 3,700 invitations from 2018’s first quarter that issued 17,500 invitations. This is in-line with the Canada’s three-year immigration levels plan. Three year immigration plan will see three year admission target, culminating in 350,000 admissions in 2021.
Express entry program allows the Canadian government to select the skilled immigrants for Canada pr visa registered under Canada’s three skilled immigration programs – Federal Skilled Worker Program (FSWP), Federal Skilled Trades Program (FSTP) and Canadian Experience Class (CEC).
Candidate’s express profiles are given points based on the factors like age, educational qualifications, work experience, skill-transferability factors and additional factors. Maximum points candidate’s can get are 1,200 points and these points determines the ranks of the candidate’s express profile in the Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS).
First largest Draw ever since the introduction of express entry program
2019 began with largest-ever first draw of the year since the introduction of express entry program four years ago.
When comparing 2019 start with previous year 2018’s first quarter it is quite evident that the first quarter of 2019 beats the 2018’s first quarter in terms of the invitations issued.
But 2017 was the year, where the most number of invitations were issued in the first quarter and the year ended with total 86,023 invitations issued.
Looking at the size of the six express draws of this year, four express draw issued 3,350 invitations and the first draw of the year had the size of 3,900 invitations issued both times.
Lowest CRS score cut-off
CRS score cut-off is needed to be cleared by the express entry candidate’s to be eligible to get the Invitation to Apply (ITA) to apply for Canada PR visa to the Immigration, Refugees & Citizenship Canada (IRCC). 2019’ first quarter sees the CRS score cut-off dropped to 438 points which is lowest cut-off for an all program draw since 2017’s last quarter when CRS score cut-off fell to 436 points.
438 CRS point cut-off is second lowest CRS cut-off for the first quarter of a year. 2017’s first quarter has the lowest CRS cut-off that is 434 points. Lowest minimum CRS score ever recorded is also held by 2017, when the minimum CRS score cut-off dropped to 413 points in an all-program draw held on May 31, 2017.
If one sees the trend of setting the CRS cut-off, the time between two consecutive express draws can influence the CRS score cut-off. Less time between the two express draw, gives less time to replenish the express pool with the capable immigrants thus reducing the CRS cut-off.
Seeing the example of two separate express draws – January 10 and February 20, the time between both of them was of 20 days and this resulted in increase in minimum threshold for CRS cut-off when compared to the previous CRS cut-off. But, in two most recent draws that held within two weeks, the CRS score decreased.
Draw size in another trend that coincides with the changing CRS score. Last four express draws, total ITAs issued was 3,350 each which represents a 550 ITAs decrease from larger draw size of 3,900 ITAs in late 2018 and early 2019. Size of the first two express draw of 2019 were both the largest ever for a first quarter.
In order to meet their target of more admissions according to their three year immigration plan, IRCC will held possible larger or frequent express draws, which can have dynamic or even reduced CRS score cut-off in rest of 2019.
Provincial Nomination Program (PNPs) report for 2019
Looking to the provincial nomination program (PNP)’s activity in 2019, this year was busy for them also. Especially first quarter of the year sees Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and other provinces select express entry candidates via different streams in their respective PNPs.
If an express entry candidate’s is able to successfully land the provincial nomination, they are awarded with 600 CRS points. These many points are more than enough to land the ITA to apply for Canada PR visa.
Under Canada’s three year immigration plan, PNP’s admission is also set to increase. This year target under PNP’s admission is of 61,000. By the year 2021, PNP target accounts for 71,300 new admissions.
Ontario’s popular Human Capital Priorities (HCP) stream held it largest draw ever issuing a total 1,493 Notification of Interest (NOI) to the express entry registered candidates with the CRS score between 439 and 448 points. OINP – Ontario Immigrant Nominee Program allows them to search express entry pool for candidates who are able to meet the eligibility criteria of HCP or any other OINP’s express stream – French Speaking Skilled Worker Stream or Skilled Trades Stream.
Another PNP which had a busy first quarter 2019 – Nova Scotia Nominee Program (NSNP), which includes three express entry linked streams. NSNP held two draws via its Nova Scotia Labour Market Priorities Stream. First draw held in January, stream targeted financial auditors and accountants with CRS score between 400 and 450 points. Second draw held on March 20, had given priority to the express entry registered candidates with French as their first official Language.
Saskatchewan, Manitoba and Prince Edward Island are some of the province that announcing draws via their express entry linked immigration streams. Saskatchewan’s PNP – Saskatchewan Immigrant Nominee Program (SINP) held three draws with a total 515 invitations issued to the express entry candidates registered via province’s unique Expression of Interest (EOI) pool.